Ayeneh.com

🇮🇷🇺🇸 This is an important statement from Trump, diverging from all his other recent comments

- Is he bluffing to catch Iran off-guard?
- Is there behind-the-scenes talks with the regime?
- Did the pressure from the Gulf nations change his mind?

tbh, nobody has any idea

⚡#BREAKING Washington Post: Israel and Iran have conveyed messages through Russia agreeing that neither side will proactively attack the other in a preemptive strike.

🇮🇷🇿🇦 IRANIAN WARSHIPS DOCK IN SOUTH AFRICA

Footage shows Iran’s Task Group 103 arriving at Simon’s Town port on Jan. 13.

The group includes the IRIS Naghdi corvette and support vessels IRIS Makran and IRIS Mahdavi, “IRIS” stands for Islamic Republic of Iran Ship.

Arrival confirmed Tuesday.

Source: @Osint613

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump: "We have some news about Iran that we will talk about."

⚡️#BREAKING Trump appears to backtrack on promise to help Iranian rioters

Exclusive: Armed Kurdish groups sought to cross into Iran from Iraq, sources say http://reut.rs/4bFeL6G http://reut.rs/4bFeL6G

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 U.S. WILL LEAD THE IRAN WAR, BUT "IT WASN’T TRUMP’S IDEA"

Geopolitical analyst and frequent Middle East commentator Trita Parsi says Trump was convinced by Israel to lead war with Iran, and now he's selling it as some moral crusade to back protesters. But in reality? It’s “unfinished business” from last year’s indecisive Gaza and Lebanon wars, and missiles are the real target.

"My expectation was that Israel would push for war and get the U.S. to support it, not lead it. But what happened is the opposite.

Trump was convinced at Mar-a-Lago to take the lead. It’s being framed as his war now. But it wasn’t his idea.

The protests have nothing to do with this. In fact, they might have delayed it. The plan was already made on December 29 at the White House.

The justification is protests, but the real issue is missiles. This war is about finishing what wasn’t finished last June."

@tparsi

⚡Trump: We have been informed that the killing of protesters in Iran has stopped and that there will be no executions

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 TRUMP: “KILLING IN IRAN IS STOPPING”

"We have been told that the killing in Iran is stopping, it has stopped.

There is no plan for executions.

I have been told that, we will find out about it."

Is he reconsidering whether to strike Iran and looking for an out?

Source: @clashreport

⚡Trump: We have news on Iran - we'll talk about it soon

🇮🇷 SHIPS BACK OFF IRANIAN PORTS AS STRIKE FEARS GROW

At least 50 commercial vessels have dropped anchor away from Iran’s key ports in the Persian Gulf.

25 are sitting off Bandar Imam Khomeini, and another 25 off Bandar Abbas in the Strait of Hormuz.

Nobody wants to get caught if things pop off.

Source: @sentdefender, Reuters

🚨🇮🇷 IRANIANS ARE STILL FIGHTING BACK AGAINST THE REGIME

Even with over 2,600 killed, Iranians aren't giving up.

They’re chanting against Khamenei, dodging bullets, and refusing to back down, even as the government labels them enemies of the state, kills them in cold blood, and blocks the outside world from seeing it.

Source: @gghamari

BREAKING: Trump says he has been told the killing in Iran is stopping and there are no plans for executions

🇮🇱🇮🇷 ISRAELIS HOLD RALLY BACKING IRANIANS PROTESTING THEIR REGIME

Israelis are out in the streets showing support for the people rising up.

In Tel Aviv, demonstrators held signs, waved peace signs, and called out the brutal crackdown that’s already left over 2,600 Iranians dead.

Source: @emilykschrader

Pay the same, get more!

I think this is good for customer loyalty.

You get what you give.

BREAKING: German authorities caution airlines from entering Iranian airspace

BREAKING: Dozens of commercial ships have dropped theirs anchors at a distance outside Iran's ports due to the 'risk of collateral damage in the event of air strikes on nearby infrastructure', according to Reuters report.

Dozens of commercial ships have dropped anchor at a distance outside several of Iran's ports in recent days, as tensions continue to escalate with the United States and fears mount of possible strikes against Iran’s oil and port facilities on the Persian Gulf, according to shipping data and sources who spoke to Reuters.

At least 25 bulk carriers were stationary in Iran’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) off the Major Port of Bandar Imam Khomeini on the Persian Gulf, while a further 25 ships including container and cargo vessels had dropped anchor further south off the Port of Bandar Abbas within the Strait of Hormuz.

🇮🇷 Trump is about to bomb Iran. That’s no longer a question.

The question now is WHAT IS HIS OBJECTIVE

Option 1: Destroy the regime as a whole

Option 2: Weaken the regime and get rid of the Supreme Leader (Think Venezuela: Same regime, different head)

Option 3: Destroy the regime and Iran as a military power (Worst case scenario, think Syria and Iraq)

Option 4: A symbolic strike before entering negotiations

If the plan is option 1 or 3, then be prepared for a prolonged war that is likely catastrophic for the region.

If the plan is option 4, then protesters will feel betrayed, and Israel won’t be happy at all and may intervene to finish the job.

So this leaves us with Option 2, the scenario I think achieves America’s (and Israel’s) objectives, at least partially, without destroying Iran as a state and spiraling the region into chaos.

🇮🇱🇮🇷 🇮🇱 IDF TO ISRAELIS: “WE’RE READY FOR IRAN, STOP SPREADING PANIC”

The Israeli military says they’re watching everything super closely and are ready for whatever happens next.

The Chief of Staff ordered defenses boosted across the board just in case.

Both IDF spokesmen, Avichay Adraee and Effie Defrin, are saying the same thing: don’t freak out, don’t spread random stuff online, and stick to official updates.

No changes to Israel’s defense policy for now.

Source: @AvichayAdraee